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Which political party has been best for tenants and landlords? 

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Independent letting and sales agent, Benham and Reeves, has looked at which political party has had the most impact on the UK rental market and which way you might want to be voting depending on whether you’re a landlord or tenant.

Benham and Reeves looked at the average rental cost across England between the joint tenure of Labour’s Tony Blair and Gordon Brown between 1997 and 2009 and during the more recent reign of Tory duo, Cameron and May.

The Tories have seen the highest average rent during their time in power at £767 per month. This is an increase of £218 or 34.1% on the average monthly rent between 2010 and 2019, a 3.4% jump each year.

When splitting it between David and Theresa, David presided over the greatest hike in rents of both Tory leaders. In his six years in charge, the average rent was £717 per month and increased a total of 23.1%, an average of 3.9% per year. On the other hand, rents under Theresa did average £848 per month but only increased by 2.3% in her four years which is just 0.6% a year on average. Great for tenants for sure. But for landlords? Not so much.

On the face of it, Labour’s time in power was far more tenant-friendly with the average monthly rent hitting just £437 over the 13 years since Tony Blair took over in 1997. But when looking at the growth of rents during this time the figures tell an entirely different story. When Labour came into power, the average monthly rent was just £334 but by the time Gordon Brown left Number 10 this had soared by 86.9% to £624 per month. That’s an increase of £290 per month and an average yearly hike of 6.7%. ‘For the many, not the few’? Where rents are concerned, perhaps that’s debatable?

While Tony oversaw a rental increase of 39.67% in nine years, this averages out at 4.4% a year, while Gordon Brown’s rental increase of 28.8% averages out at a huge 7.2% during his four years.

So there you have it, Gordon Brown destroyed rental affordability while Theresa was the best of the bunch and now we have Boris – you don’t know what you’ve got till it’s gone.

But what about landlords?

Yields have dropped during the time both parties were in power due to almost continuous house price growth, averaging 4.5% per year under both Labour and the Conservatives.

However, they fell by an average of -2.6% per year from 1997 to 2009 under Labour – a total fall of -33.61%, but just -0.3% per year under the Conservatives, down -2.8% in total.

Blair oversaw the largest average yearly yield at 4.9% but saw a total drop of -3.4% during his time as PM, a fall of -0.4% per year.

Gordon oversaw the lowest average yearly yield at 3.8% per year but yields actually climbed 1.2% in total, a lift of 0.3% a year.

David Cameron and Theresa May saw a similar uplift in yields averaging 4.6% and 4.2% per year, both seeing a small increase during their time as PM and, with no average yearly growth under Cameron but a 0.1% uplift for each year under May.

Director of Benham and Reeves, Marc von Grundherr said, “Probably not the first criteria that you would consider when deciding on your political allegiance but politics and a party’s housing plans can have a big impact on issues of supply and affordability within the rental market, so who you vote for could very well impact upon your personal living arrangements.

“We’re not taking sides either way, but on the face of it, Labour has been the most questionable party in power if you’re a tenant struggling with rent affordability, while in terms of investing in the buy-to-let sector, flip a coin as they’re all as mediocre as each other really.”

Rents
Government Period Average Rent During Tenure Total Change (%) Yearly Rental Increase (%)
Labour 1997-2009 £437 86.9% 6.7%
Conservative 2010-2019 £767 34.1% 3.4%
         
PM Years as PM Average Rent During Tenure Total Change (%) Yearly Rental Increase (%)
Gordon Brown 4 £564 28.8% 7.2%
Tony Blair 9 £381 39.7% 4.4%
David Cameron 6 £717 23.1% 3.9%
Theresa May 4 £843 2.3% 0.6%
         
Yields
Government Period Average Yield During Tenure Total Change (%) Yearly Yield Change (%)
Labour 1997-2009 4.46% -33.6% -2.6%
Conservative 2010-2019 4.54% -2.8% -0.3%
         
PM Years as PM Average Yield During Tenure Total Change (%) Yearly Yield Change (%)
Gordon Brown 4 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Tony Blair 9 4.9% -3.4% -0.4%
David Cameron 6 4.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Theresa May 4 4.2% 0.2% 0.1%

 

Government Prime Minister Ave Rent (per month)   Average House Price   Yield %
Year England   Year England   Year England
Labour Tony Blair 1997 £334   1997 £59,160   1997 6.77%
Labour Tony Blair 1998 £333   1998 £64,301   1998 6.22%
Labour Tony Blair 1999 £326   1999 £70,070   1999 5.59%
Labour Tony Blair 2000 £344   2000 £80,814   2000 5.10%
Labour Tony Blair 2001 £357   2001 £90,306   2001 4.75%
Labour Tony Blair 2002 £417   2002 £107,981   2002 4.63%
Labour Tony Blair 2003 £422   2003 £130,218   2003 3.89%
Labour Tony Blair 2004 £427   2004 £152,314   2004 3.36%
Labour Tony Blair 2005 £466   2005 £163,570   2005 3.42%
Labour Gordon Brown 2006 £484   2006 £174,351   2006 3.33%
Labour Gordon Brown 2007 £536   2007 £190,025   2007 3.38%
Labour Gordon Brown 2008 £612   2008 £182,379   2008 4.03%
Labour Gordon Brown 2009 £624   2009 £166,558   2009 4.50%
Labour Average Rent (per month) £437   Labour Average HP £125,542   Labour Average Yield 4.54%
Change growth (1997-2009) 86.9%   Change growth (1997-2009) 181.5%   Change in yield (1997-2009) -33.61%
                   
Conservative David Cameron 2010 £640   2010 £177,472   2010 4.33%
Conservative David Cameron 2011 £696   2011 £175,229   2011 4.77%
Conservative David Cameron 2012 £705   2012 £177,488   2012 4.77%
Conservative David Cameron 2013 £728   2013 £182,581   2013 4.78%
Conservative David Cameron 2014 £742   2014 £197,771   2014 4.50%
Conservative David Cameron 2015 £788   2015 £211,174   2015 4.48%
Conservative Theresa May 2016 £839   2016 £227,337   2016 4.43%
Conservative Theresa May 2017 £831   2017 £238,161   2017 4.19%
Conservative Theresa May 2018 £844   2018 £245,065   2018 4.13%
Conservative Boris Johnson 2019 £858   2019 £244,882   2019 4.20%
Conservative Average Rent (per month) £767   Conservative AverageHP £207,716   Conservative Average Yield 4.46%
Change growth (2011-2019) 34.1%   Change growth (2011-2019) 38.0%   Change in yield (2011-2019) -2.84%

 

 

Sources:
Prime Ministers in power Wikipedia

 

Private Rents Gov source2
  CCHPR source3
  Statista source4
  Gov source5
  Gov Archive source6
Av. House Price Gov / Land Reg source7



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