Home Property Average UK rents to increase by 13% over the next three years: Is there no escape for generation stuck?

Average UK rents to increase by 13% over the next three years: Is there no escape for generation stuck?

9th Apr 24 2:01 pm

Research from The Resolution Foundation has revealed that renters will experience faster rent increases compared to their earnings in the coming years, predicting average rents to surge by 13% over the next three years.

This is due to factors such as the market recovering from the pandemic and fast-rising wages.

The rise in costs is considered a correction to return the UK’s rent-to-earnings ratio to its long-term trend after disruptions caused by the pandemic.

Additionally, more families are turning to private renting due to challenges in saving for property deposits or affording increasing mortgage rates, leading to a nearly doubling in the proportion of families privately renting over a generation.

This news will cause concern for Generation Stuck – those currently unable to buy a home and leave the rental market – with data from Cornerstone Tax – the UK’s leading property tax experts – revealing that a staggering 42% of renters fear that they will be stuck renting of the rest of their lives.

David Hannah, Group Chairman of Cornerstone, highlights that whilst clear affordability issues remain in the housing market, this fall, alongside speculation of an interest rate cut later in the year, could mean that there is a glimmer of hope on the horizon for those currently stuck in the perpetual cycle of renting.

Cornerstone’s research report highlights the dire need to change in the rental market, which has been marred by rising prices and increased competition. Notably, 17% of tenants report losing out on their desired rental properties due to bidding wars within the last two years.

The situation is also desperate for those who are lucky enough to secure a property, with a staggering 19% of Brits saying they have had to change rental properties more than five times in five years because of landlords and not through any fault of their own.

The escalating cost of renting has been a significant driver of change in the rental market, with the average cost of rent increasing by 8.3% over 2023; a figure buttressed by soaring interest rates and landlords passing on their escalating expenses to tenants.

As a result, 15% of buy-to-let landlords have decided to exit the sector, as revealed by Cornerstone’s research. The tax advisory firm cites the mounting costs as a primary reason for selling their rental properties. Furthermore, the survey uncovers that 18% of potential buy-to-let landlords have been discouraged from entering the market due to increased regulations and rules.

This growing reluctance of buy-to-let landlords to enter the market will only serve to exacerbate the supply and demand issues which are currently causing upward pressure on prices and bidding wars due to the lack of stock.

Group Chairman of Cornerstone Tax, David Hannah said, “The relentless surge in interest rates by the Bank of England last year severely compromised the affordability of mortgages and affected buyers’ spending capacity.

“Yet, in the midst of this challenging landscape, the latest report from Halifax may provide those stuck in the rental market with a glimmer of hope. Speculated interest rate cuts and the first recorded drop in house prices in six months, may suggest that affordability issues could subside towards the end of the year and early 2025.

“So, while the road ahead may seem uncertain, it’s important to remember that even in the face of a challenging market, the property market can adapt and rebound, offering opportunities for those who remain vigilant and strategic.”

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